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24 Pt. 2 J. Legal Ethical & Regul. Isses 1 (2021)
Using E-Learning Factors to Predict Student Performance in the Practice of Precision Education

handle is hein.journals/jnlolletl2424 and id is 2389 raw text is: 
Journal of Legal, Ethical and Regulatory Issues


USING E-LEARNING FACTORS TO PREDICT STUDENT
    PERFORMANCE IN THE PRACTICE OF PRECISION
                                  EDUCATION

                Abdulla  Alsharhan,   The  British University  in Dubai
                       Said A.  Salloum,  University  of Sharjah
                     Ahmad   Aburayya,   Dubai   Health  Authority

                                      ABSTRACT

       The emergence of Covid-19 has accelerated digital transformation, while simultaneously
disrupting traditional education. The implementation of distance education practices produced a
massive amount of data generated by the deployed learning management systems. Educational data
mining tools using machine learning methods can produce thorough student-level insights into what
has become known as precision education. This study aims to investigate a convenient approach to
analyze a data set of 480 students in the Middle East using three supervised machine learning
methods  (artificial neural networks, decision trees, and Naive Bayes) to predict overall
performance using SPSS. The findings indicate that the naive Bayes algorithm achieved the highest
accuracy of 89.85%, while the artificial neural networks algorithm achieved the lowest variance,
with a standard deviation of 2.37. Besides, there are more valuable insights beyond accuracy that
other Machine learning models can provide in the SPSS environment, such as visual representation
and normalized importance of independent variables. Moreover, in the context of missing student
data, the data set was evaluated if e-learning parameters alone can predict student performance.
The findings suggest that e-learning parameters alone can predict student performance with an
average accuracy of 84.49%. This study contributes to limit grade inflation in the age of online
learning due to educational malpractices.

Keywords:   Educational Data Mining, Academic  Performance, Prediction Model, E-Learning,
Precision Education, Performance Education, Artificial Neural Network, Decision Tree, Naive
Bayes, Machine Learning, SPSS, Educational Technologies, Human-Computer Interaction

                                   INTRODUCTION

       The COVID-19  pandemic has accelerated digital transformation in a novel manner (Taryam
et al., 2020; Ahmad et al., 2021; Al-Maroof et al., 2021; Taryam et al., 2021). Education is among
the areas that the pandemic has heavily impacted (Capuyan et al., 2021). The learning process was
disrupted, cutting off 1.5 million  students from physical attendance  (Kupchina, 2021).
Consequently, new blended learning methods are emerging. e-learning and distance learning are
becoming a normality. At the same time, the learning analytics generated from e-learning platforms
can be harnessed in many ways (Salloum et al., 2017; Alshurideh et al., 2019; Al Kurdi et al.,
2020). Educational Data Mining (EDM)  is commonly used to search for and detect patterns to
improve  educational performance. The new EDM approaches that   are emerging  offer more
personalized education in what is known as precision education This refers to obtaining the right
intervention in place for the right person for the right reason (Cook, Kilgus & Bums 2018). The
precision education approach was borrowed from precision medicine, and their methods are used in
EDM   to diagnose, predict, treat, and prevent undesirable educational behavior (Yang et al., 2021).
       In order to provide the correct intervention, we need to first identify and classify specific
patterns in students either in highly performing students or those who need assistance. Making


Legal Ethics and Responsibilities


Volume 24, Special Issue 6, 2021


1544-0044-24-S6-45