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1 J. D. Foster, Public Investment and Deficit Reduction 1 (1993)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/taxfaazc0001 and id is 1 raw text is: FOUNDATION

June 1993, No. 3

Public Investment and Deficit Reduction
House Ways & Means Committee Testimony

ByJD. Foster                In Spring 1993, the Tax Foundation
Chief Economist          was invited to testify before the House Ways
and Foudtion            and Means Committee on the Clinton
administration's proposals for public
investment and deficit reduction. The
following testimony was presented by the
Tax Foundation's Chief Economist, JD.
Foster, to the Committee on April 1, 1993.
As with any program the size of that
proposed by President Clinton, there are good
points and bad points. For example, making
permanent many of the transitory provisions
of present law, such as the research and
experimentation tax credit and the low-
income housing tax credit, represents good
tax policy because, among other things, it
brings more certainty to the tax law.
Businesses and individuals simply cannot
undertake long-term planning with any
confidence when there is continued
uncertainty in the tax law.
President Clinton's call for a net tax increase
of $274 billion ... comes at a time when
American taxpayers are already shouldering
the heaviest tax burden in U.S. histoty.
In contrast to its many good provisions,
President Clinton's plan also proposes major
tax increases for individuals and corporations.
President Clinton's call for net tax increases of
$274 billion over the next five years through
explicit taxes and another $32 billion in
various user fee increases, for a total $309
billion net increase, comes at a time when

American taxpayers are already shouldering
the heaviest tax burden in U.S. history. Mr.
Chairman, let me begin by placing the
President's program in economic context.
We really have one central economic
problem in this country today-one problem
that either captures the effects of other
problems, or is itself the cause of the other
problems: Low productivity growth.
Whether your main concern is wage
growth, job growth, international
competitiveness, or the futures we leave to
our children, it all boils down to increasing
productivity.
Productivity, measured as output per
hour of all persons in the nonfarm business
sector, grew at about 2.4% between 1959 and
1969, slowed to 1.3% from 1969 to 1979, and
slowed further to 0.8% between 1979 and
1989. This general pattern has been repeated
in most of the major industrialized nations.
Some of the slow productivity growth is
demographic in nature. As the baby boomers
entered the work-force it shifted the balance
of skills to relatively less-skilled workers. The
same occurred as the percentage of women
entering the labor force increased. New
entrants typically have fewer skills, and lower
productivity, than more experienced
workers. Eventually this surge of less-skilled
workers will produce a surge of highly-
skilled, experienced workers and
improvements in living standards should
accelerate.
There are a host of other reasons for the
slower productivity growth, however, which
do not appear to be self-correcting, including:
* the shift to more service-oriented
industries,

11 UEF