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1 Alex Durante, Social Security: Lessons for Reform 1 (2024)

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Social Security: Lessons for Reform



Alex Durante    Economist

September  2024



Key Findings

•   By 2035, the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Trust Fund, or the Social Security Trust Fund,
    will be depleted, and current payroll taxes will only be able to fund 83 percent of the scheduled bene-
    fits.
 •  Absent any reforms, Social Security recipients would immediately face a 17 percent cut in benefits.
 •  Past reform efforts, such as the 1983 amendments, have not been able to solve Social Security's
    long-term funding problem, which is due to a declining worker-per-retiree ratio that now stands at only
    3-to-1 and is projected to fall further.
 •  Reforms such  as using price indexing instead of wage indexing to calculate benefits, raising the retire-
    ment age, using the chained CPI to adjust benefits for inflation, and raising the payroll tax cap would
    restore solvency to the system.
 •  The current Social Security system crowds out private saving and harms young workers and new en-
    trants to the labor force.
 •  Policymakers should look to other countries for inspiration, including Australia, Singapore, Sweden,
    and Chile, which have all reformed their systems to encourage personal saving.


















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