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1 Kyle Pomerleau, Potential Economic Impact of Revenue Neutral Corporate Tax Reform on Pass-through Businesses 1 (2015)

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FOUNDATION

FISCAL

FACT
June 2015
No. 469


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Potential Economic Impact of Revenue

Neutral Corporate Tax Reform on

Pass-Through Businesses

By  Kyle  Pomerleau
    Economist


Key  Findings
*   Policymakers are currently focused on revenue neutral corporate tax
    reform to bring down the high U.S. statutory corporate tax rate.

 * Corporate-only  tax reform leaves out nearly 95 percent of all businesses
   from  tax reform.

 *  Revenue neutral corporate tax reform that eliminates business tax
   expenditures  in exchange for a 25 percent corporate tax rate could
   increase taxes on pass-through businesses.

 *  Using the Tax Foundation's Taxes and Growth economic  model, we
   estimate that revenue neutral corporate tax reform that increases taxes
   on  pass-through businesses would reduce the size of the economy by 0.2
   percent or $36 billion in the long run due to the increased cost of capital in
   the pass-through sector.

 *  In isolation, the impact of the elimination of business tax expenditures for
    pass-through businesses has a significant negative impact on the economy,
    reducing GDP  by 0.5 percent or $84 billion in the long run.