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1 Erica York, et al., Options for Navigating the 2025 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Expirations 1 (2024)

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*%TAX FOUNDATION




Options for Navigating the

2025 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

Expirations




Erica York     Senior   Economist, Research Director
Alex Durante   Economist
Huaqun  Li        Senior Economist
Garrett Watson    Senior Policy Analyst, Modeling Manager
Will McBride   Vice President  of Federal Tax Policy & Stephen J. Entin Fellow in Economics

May 2024

Executive Summary

Policymakers should have two priorities in the upcoming economic policy debates: a larger economy and
fiscal responsibility. Principled, pro-growth tax policy can help accomplish both.

Congress is staring down the expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), and Tax Foundation is pre-
pared to provide insight and analysis on the policies at stake. Since its enactment in 2017, the Tax Foun-
dation team has studied the TCJA's underlying construction and resulting strengths and weaknesses. We
have also analyzed fundamental reforms that would dramatically improve the U.S. tax system to support
economic  growth as well as greater efficiency and simplicity.

Whether lawmakers  target fundamental tax reform or follow the outline of the TCJA, they will confront
decisions on what to prioritize in this forthcoming round of tax reform. In that regard, staying within the
overall TCJA construct, the Tax Foundation team has analyzed difficult, but revenue-neutral ways to build a
pro-growth set of reform options that would not significantly worsen the deficit once changes to the econ-
omy  are considered or substantially change the distribution of the tax burden across the income scale.

The alternative reform options outlined in this paper may not be politically popular, but they would grow
the economy and provide sufficient revenue to avoid significantly increasing our nation's debt. The two
alternative options would further broaden the tax base for individual income (more so than the TCJA),
maintain much of the individual rate cuts from that law, improve the business tax base to support invest-
ment, and maintain the corporate tax rate of 21 percent.

                           The Tax Foundation is the world's leading nonpartisan tax policy 501 (c)(3) nonprofit.
            For over 80 years, our mission has remained the same: to improve lives through tax policies that lead to greater economic growth and opportunity.
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