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85 IRET Policy Bulletin i (2001)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/iretpbul0044 and id is 1 raw text is: August 6,2001
S                                       No.85
FIXING THE SAVING PROBLEM:
HOW THE TAX SYSTEM DEPRESSES SAVING,
AND WHAT TO DO ABOUT IT*
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The personal saving rate in the U.S. is alarmingly low -far too low to meet
the retirement needs of the baby boomers. The very low saving rate restricts
investment, which in turn retards economic growth. The culprit is the
pervasive bias against saving that is built into almost every aspect of the tax
code. Removing this bias against saving through tax reform could raise
national income by 10 to 15 percent in 15 years.
How low is the personal saving rate? In early 2000, despite strength in the stock and bond markets
and in the U.S. economy overall, the rate of personal saving - that is, saving as a percent of
disposable after-tax income - was nearly zero. This represents a decline from about 9 percent in
the mid-1980s and from about 2.5 percent in 1999, just one year earlier. Since business saving has
scarcely changed as a share of the economy, this also means that total private saving represents a
lesser share of gross national product (GNP).
In its potential impact on taxpayers, particularly baby boomers, this very low saving rate is alarming.
In 2016, baby boomer retirements will plunge the current Social Security system into deficit. To
supplement the system's modest benefits, a retired individual or couple in good health will need -
in today's dollars - $20,000 per year, the income one might expect from a retirement annuity of
$250,000. Yet extrapolations from the Federal Reserve Board's most recent Survey of Consumer
Finances suggests that the typical household retires with less than $50,000, for a possible annuity
income of $4,000 per year.
* This paper has been prepared in conjunction with the IPI Center for Tax Analysis of the Institute for
Policy Innovation, Lewisville, Texas. It is also appearing as part of IPI's The Road Map to Tax Reform'TM
series.
Institute for         IRET is a non-profit, tax exempt 501(c)3 economic policy research and educational
Research                organization devoted to informing the public about policies that will promote
on the                      economic growth and efficient operation of the market economy.
Economics of           1730 K Street, N.W., Suite 910 e Washington, D.C. 20006
Taxation             (202) 463-1400 * Fax (202) 463-6199 * Internet www.iret.org