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62 IRET Policy Bulletin 1 (1994)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/iretpbul0021 and id is 1 raw text is: March 16,1994
No. 62
THE CLINTONS' HEALTH CARE REFORM PLAN
WOULD INCREASE HEALTH CARE COSTS
Do We Spend Too Much on Health Care?
There are two principal rationales for the Clintons' and similar health care reform plans. One
rationale is economics: the conviction that the nation spends too much on health care and that
health care uses up too much of our production resources. The second rationale has to do with the
federal budget: our allegedly excessive outlays for health care are deemed to be a major source of
federal budget deficits (President Clinton's budget proposals in February 1993 repeatedly stressed
the idea that projected deficits would be materially reduced if his then yet-to-be-specified health
plan were adopted).
The budgetary consequences of the existing health care financing system and of the Clintons'
proposal have been given a good deal of attention. A number of analyses, most importantly that
of the Congressional Budget Office, have concluded that the Clintons' plan would increase the
federal budget deficit, notwithstanding the proposed tax increases and reduced spending for
Medicare and Medicaid. Much less attention, however, has been given to the equally important
question concerning the economic effects of the Clintons' plan, that is, whether it would lead to
effectively economizing on the use of resources for health care. 1
The nation's economic and fiscal health, health care reformers tell us, depends on curbing our
appetites for better health. Alice M. Rivlin, deputy director of the Office of Management and
Budget, expressed this view colorfully: Almost everyone agrees that if we are to have the
productive, competitive, flexible economy that we all want, we cannot allow the 'health care tax'
to continue rising. We are already using 14% of our gross domestic product to pay for health care.
' See, however, the excellent analyses of the impact of many of the important features of the plan that are provided
in the Joint Committee on Taxation Staff Description and Analysis of the Employer Mandate and Related Provisions
of the Health Security Act (HR 3600), February 2, 1994.
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