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1 William Ahern, Comparing the Kennedy, Reagan and Bush Tax Cuts 1 (2004)

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August 24, 2004
Comparing the Kennedy, Reagan and Bush Tax Cuts
by William Ahern
Fiscal Fact No. 15
How big were the Bush tax cuts? According to the Treasury Department*, there have
been 19 significant federal tax cuts since the end of World War II. Three of them have
been passed under the Administration of George W. Bush-the Economic Growth and
Tax Reform Reconciliation Act of 2001 (EGTRRA), the Job Creation and Workers
Assistance Act of 2002 (JCWA), and The Jobs and Growth Tax Relief and Reconciliation
Act of 2003 (JGTRRA).
Some taxpayers and policymakers have questioned the size of the Bush tax cut,
considering the war costs and projected deficits. The table below compares the 2003 tax
cut with Bush's 2001 and 2002 tax cuts, and with the two largest tax cuts in the post-WW
II era-the Kennedy tax cut in 1964, and the Reagan tax cut in 1981:
Table 1. Kennedy, Reagan, and Bush Tax Cuts in Historical Perspective

Tax Legislation
The Kennedy Tax Cut (Revenue Act of 1964)
The Reagan Tax Cut (Economic Recovery Tax
Act of 1981)
Bush Tax Cuts:
Economic Growth and Tax Reform
Reconciliation Act of 2001
Job Creation and Worker Assistance Act of
2002
Jobs and Growth Tax Relief and Reconciliation
Act of 2003
2001, 2002 and 2003 Bush Tax Cuts if
Combined in 2003

Tax Cut in
Billions of
Current
Dollars (a)
($11.50)

Tax Cut in
Billions of
Constant
2003 Dollars
($54.90)

($38.30)   ($68.70)
($73.80)   ($75.80)
($51.20)   ($52.00)
($60.80)   ($60.80)
NA    ($188.10)

Tax Cut as a
Percent of
National
Income (b)
-1.90%

Surplus or Deficit
(-) as a Percentage
of National
Income (b)
-1.00%

-1.40%
-0.80%
-0.60%
-0.60%
-2.00%

-2.80%
1.50%
-1.70%
-3.20%

* * Tempalski, Jerry, Revenue Effects of Major Tax Bills, Office of Tax Analysis Working Paper 81,
December 1998.