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1 Garrett Watson, et al., Details and Analysis of President-Elect Joe Biden's Tax Proposals, October 2020 Update 1 (2020)

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Details and Analysis of


President-elect Joe Biden's Tax


Proposals, October 2020 Update


FISCAL

FACT
No. 730
Oct. 2020


Garrett Watson
Senior Policy Analyst


Huaqun   Li
Senior Economist


Taylor LaJoie
Policy Analyst


This report has been
updated to reflect the
results of the 2020
presidential election.


Key   Findings


     President-elect Joe Biden, according to the tax plan he released before
      the election, would enact a number of policies that would raise taxes on
      individuals with income above $400,000,  including raising individual income,
      capital gains, and payroll taxes. Biden would also raise taxes on corporations
      by raising the corporate income tax rate and imposing a corporate minimum
      book tax.


     Biden's plan would raise tax revenue by $3.3 trillion over the next decade on
      a conventional basis. When accounting for macroeconomic   feedback effects,
      the plan would collect about $2.8 trillion the next decade. This is lower
      than we originally estimated due to the revenue effects of the coronavirus
      pandemic  and economic  downturn  and new  tax credit proposals introduced
      by the Biden campaign.


     According to the Tax Foundation's General Equilibrium Model, the Biden tax
      plan would reduce GDP   by 1.62 percent over the long term.


     On a conventional basis, the Biden tax plan by 2030 would lead to about 7.7
      percent less after-tax income for the top 1 percent of taxpayers and about a
      1.9 percent decline in after-tax income for all taxpayers on average.

 Summary of Biden's Tax Proposal Estimates


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leading independent tax policy
research organization. Since 1937,
our research, analysis, and experts
have informed smarter tax policy
at the federal, state, and global
levels. We are a 501(c)(3) nonprofit
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Designer, Dan Carvajal
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Plan Highlights


 Repeal the TCJA components for high-income filers;
 Impose 12.4% Social Security payroll tax for wages
  above $400k;
 Increase the corporate income tax to 28%;
 Establish a corporate minimum tax on book income;
 Double the tax rate on GILTI and impose it country-by-
  country;
 Temporarily increase the generosity of the Child Tax
  Credit and Dependent Credit


Conventional Revenue, 2021-2030                     $3334
(Billions of Dollars)
Dynamic Revenue, 2021-2030                           $2782
(Billions of Dollars)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)                        -1.62%
CapitalStock                                         -3.75%
Full-time Equivalent Jobs                          -542,000
Source: Tax Foundation General Equilibrium Model, January 2020.