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1 Alex Muresianu & Sean Bray, Carbon Taxes, Trade, and American Competitiveness 1 (2022)

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                             Carbon Taxes, Trade, and American

                             Competitiveness

FISCAL                       Alex Muresianu  PolicyAnalyst
FACT                         Sean Bray       EU Policy Analyst
No. 803
Nov. 2022


                             Key Findings


                                •  Carbon  leakage  occurs when  a climate policy in one jurisdiction leads to
                                   emissions-producing  activity simply shifting to a different jurisdiction.


                                •   Leakage raises both environmental  concerns-as  it undermines emissions
                                   reduction  efforts-and  economic  concerns.


                                •   In the aggregate, leakage is relatively small, but it could have an outsized
                                   impact  on specific emissions-intensive, trade-exposed (EITE) industries.


                                •   Using a border adjustment to make  a carbon tax based on consumption,
                                   rather than production, can help address this problem.


                                •   However,  measuring the carbon  content of imported goods  is challenging.
                                   This underscores  the need to pair carbon taxes with strong domestic tax
                                   reforms.


                                •   Pro-growth  policies like expensing for R&D investment and permanence   for
                                    100 percent bonus  depreciation would  at least mitigate a carbon tax's impact
                                    on manufacturing  and other critical industries.





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