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28 Sup. Ct. Econ. Rev. 1 (2020)

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Criminal Deterrence: A Review of the Missing
Literature

Alex  Raskolnikov*










   This review of the criminal deterrence literature focuses on
   the questions that are largely missing from many recent ex-
   cellent and comprehensive reviews of that literature and
   even from the literature itself. By missing I mean, first,
   questions that criminal deterrence scholars have ignored ei-
   ther completely or to a large extent. These questions range
   from fundamental  (the distributional analysis of the criminal
   justice system) to those hidden in plain sight (economic
   analysis of misdemeanors), to those that are well-known yet
   mostly overlooked (the role of positive incentives, offender's
   mental state, and celerity of punishment). Second, I use
   missing to refer to the areas where substantial relevant
   knowledge  exists but is largely disregarded within the crimi-
   nal deterrence research program. The empirical analysis of
   environmental and tax compliance  is a stark example. Finally,
   I stretch missing to describe topics that have been both
   studied and reviewed but where  substantial challenges re-
   main. These include the theoretical explanation for the role
   of offense history, the proper accounting for the offender's
   gains, the estimation of the costs of various crimes, and the
   cost-benefit analysis of crime-reduction policies.



   * Alex Raskolnikov is Wilbur H. Friedman Professor of Tax Law, Columbia Law
School. The author is grateful to Giuseppe Dari-Mattiacci, Bernard Harcourt, Bert
Huang, Murat Mungan, and Dan Richman for valuable comments and suggestions.
Email: arasko@law.columbia.edu.
Electronically published: September 18, 2020
© 2020 by the University of Chicago. All rights reserved. 978-0-226-64653-4/2020/0028-0001$10.00
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