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112 Pol. Sci. Q. 1 (1997-1998)

handle is hein.journals/pclscceqry112 and id is 1 raw text is: 





             1996   Vote: The No Majority Realignment

             Continues










                                             EVERETT CARLL LADD


            My  last three election articles in Political Science Quarterly have
emphasized  the powerful continuities evident in the contemporary postindustrial
parties and elections system: The 1988 Elections: Continuation of the Post-New
Deal System;  The  1992 Vote for President Clinton: Another Brittle Mandate?;
and The  1994 Congressional Elections: The Realignment  Continues. I hope I do
not try readers' patience by returning to this continuity theme in assessing the
November   1996 outcomes.
    In multiple understandings of the term, the 1996 vote was a status-quo election.
It was obviously such in the sense that it left control of the government essentially
unchanged.  The  Republicans retained majorities in both the House (where  their
margin  dropped  from the thirty-two-seat edge they enjoyed following  the 1994
balloting to twenty seats) and the Senate (where they gained two seats, bringing
their majority to fifty-five to forty-five). This is the first time the GOP has managed
congressional majorities for consecutive terms since 1928. Meanwhile, as Table I
shows,  President Bill Clinton won reelection by a margin  similar to the one he
gained over George  Bush  four years earlier. Clinton again won despite persisting
doubts about his character because his political skills surpassed his opponent's and
because the economy  (seen as bad in 1992, good in 1996) was on his side again.



EVERETT  CARLL  LADD  is professor of political science and director of the Institute for Social In-
quiry at the University of Connecticut and executive director of The Roper Center for Public Opinion
Research. He is the author of numerous books and articles on American political parties and elections,
including Transformation of the American Party System, 2nd ed., rev. (with Charles Hadley), Ameri-
can Political Parties, Where Have All the Voters Gone?, America at the Polls, 1994, and America at
the Polls, 1996 (in press).


Political Science Quarterly  Volume 112 Number 1  1997


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