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18 Competition & Reg. Network Indus. 3 (2017)

handle is hein.journals/netwin18 and id is 1 raw text is: Article Competition and Regulation in Network Industries A road m ap for explorative 2017, Vol. 18(1-2) 3-21 © The Author(s) 2017 Reprints and permissions: scenario sagepub.co.ukl/journalsPermissions.nav DOI: 10.1177/1783591717734792 freight transport development OSAGE Frank Troch, Thierry Vanelslander, Christa Sys and Florent Laroche University of Antwerp, Belgium Angel Merchan and Martine Mostert University of Liege, Belgium Vidar Stevens University of Antwerp, Belgium Christine Tawfik, Sandra Belboom, Ang6lique L6onard and Sabine Limbourg University of Liege, Belgium Koen Verhoest University of Antwerp, Belgium Abstract The starting point of this article is the weak usage of rail freight in Belgium and Europe, both as a sustainable mode of land transportation in itself as well as a part of the intermodal chain. The results are obtained by transversal research on rail freight transport in Belgium, taking into account the European context. This interdisciplinary research develops a road map for the creation of three integrated scenarios: a best case, medium case and worst case scenario for rail freight development, based on a detailed SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunities, threats) analysis. It includes the most probable future developments for rail freight transport and hinterland connections. These developments are obtained from literature review and discussions with a heterogeneous panel of experts in the fields of (i) optimal corridor and hub development, (ii) macroeconomic impact, (iii) sustainability, (iv) effective market regulation and (v) governance and organization for a well-functioning intermodality. The Delphi approach is used in combination with a survey analysis. Frequency tables and the H-index allow defining a ranking and selection of SWOT elements. The obtained scenarios allow future research to quantify and measure the impact of future developments and decisions towards the Belgian rail freight market. Corresponding author: Frank Troch, University of Antwerp, Prinsstraat 13, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium. E-mail: frank.troch@uantwerp.be