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1 J.L. & Empirical Analysis 2 (2024)

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Original Research Article


Partisan Panel Composition and Reliance on

Earlier Opinions in the Circuit Courts


Journal of Law and Empirical Analysis
2024, Vol. 1(1) 2-14
@ The Author(s) 2024
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DOI: 10. 1 177/2755323X241240384
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Stuart   Minor Benjamin , ByungKoo Kim2, and Kevin M. Quinn



Abstract
Does  the partisan composition of three-judge panels affect how earlier opinions are treated and thus how the law develops?
Using a novel data set of Shepard's treatments for all cases decided in the U.S. courts of appeals from 1974 to 2017, we
investigate three different versions of this question. First, are panels composed of three Democratic (Republican) appointees
more  likely to follow opinions decided by panels of three Democratic (Republican) appointees than are panels composed of
three Republican (Democratic) appointees? Second, does the presence of a single out-party judge change how a panel relies on
earlier decisions compared to what one would expect from a panel with homogeneous  partisanship? Finally, does the size of
these potential partisan effects change over time in a way that would be consistentwith partisan polarization on the courts? We
find that partisanship does, in fact, structure whether earlier opinions are followed and that these partisan effects have grown
over time-particularly within the subset of cases that we believe are most likely to be ideologically salient. Since legal doctrine
is developed by building upon or diminishing past opinions, these results have important implications for our understanding of
the development  of the law.


Keywords
judicial behavior, federal courts of appeals, panel effects, judicial citations, partisan polarization


Introduction
Most  quantitative empirical research on the behavior  of
U.S. court of appeals judges focuses on the final votes on
the merits cast by such judges. Such decisions are clearly
consequential, both for the parties involved in the appeal
and  for the development of the law. But there is more to
judicial behavior than deciding who prevails in a dispute.
In the American   common   law  system, the reasoning  in
judicial opinions serves to guide  future judges in their
decisions.
   A key element  of that reasoning is how earlier cases are
or are not relied upon. The precedential vitality of a given
majority opinion is either amplified or diminished through
later judges' decisions either to rely on or to reject reliance
on that opinion when deciding a current case. The nature of
precedent  is that opinions that later courts treat as con-
trolling thereby help  to determine  legal doctrine, and
opinions that are regularly criticized, questioned, or limited
do  not. Judges  develop   the precedential authority  of
opinions  by their decisions to rely on and follow  those


opinions. And, in so doing, they reveal information about
their preferences.
   Moving  back to studies of judicial behavior that focus on
merits votes, much of this literature finds that ideology and/or
partisanship (both of which are typically proxied by the party
of the appointing president) tend to structure the voting
behavior of judges (see, inter alia, Cross & Tiller, 1998;
Revesz, 19971; Rowland & Carp, 1996; Segal & Spaeth, 2002;
Sunstein et al., 2006). Some of the best of this work exploits
the fact that within the U.S. courts of appeals judges are, to a


'School of Law, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
2KDI School of Public Policy and Management, Sejong, Republic of Korea
3School of Law and Department of Quantitative Theory and Methods, Emory
University, Atlanta, GA, USA

Corresponding Author:
Kevin M. Quinn, School of Law and Department of Quantitative Theory and
Methods, Emory University, 1301 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30322-1007,
USA.
Email: kevin.michael.quinn@emory.edu


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