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30 Eur. J. on Crim. Pol'y & Rsch. 1 (2024)

handle is hein.journals/eurjcpr30 and id is 1 raw text is: European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research (2024) 30:1-19 https://doi.org/1 0.1007/si10610-022-09507-9 Is It Possible to Estimate Spanish Missing Person's Forced and Fatal Outcomes Cases Using Socio-demographic Data? Gender, Age and Nationality Nestor Garcia-Barcel61,2 - Miguel Angel Alcazar C6rcolesi,2. Javier Revuelta Menendez3 - Penny Woolnough4 - Jose Luis Gonzalez Alvarez5 Accepted: 7 February 2022 / Published online: 3 March 2022 © The Author(s) 2022 Abstract Although research on missing persons has globally increased during the past few years, most of the studies conducted have focused on the description of socio-demographic and situational factors associated with this phenomenon. The aim of this study is to explore in-depth the relation between missing person's socio-demographic factors and missing person's typology and outcomes. A full 1-year sample of police recorded missing persons (n = 24,284) was extracted from the Spanish 'Missing Persons and Unidentified Human Remains (PDyRH)' system and a multivariate statistical approach was used. The findings of this research show that, although nationality and gender are mainly important from a descriptive level, age is the socio-demographic variable that better classifies the typology and outcome of missing person cases. These findings suggest that age is a modulating vari- able of this phenomenon. Thus, there is a need for the conduction of research for each spe- cific age group focused on identifying psychosocial, criminological and geographical risk factors which could explain missing person case outcomes from a multifaceted approach. Considering previous research in the field, the findings of this research are mostly consist- ent with these previous studies and entail different implications, both at prevention level and in the scope of police investigations. Keywords Missing persons - Risk assessment- Fatal outcomes - Forced cases - Socio- demographic factors E Nestor Garcia-Barcel6 nestor.garcia@icfs-uam.es; nestor.garciab@estudiante.uam.es Department of Biological and Health Psychology, School of Psychology, Autonomous University of Madrid (UAM), Madrid, Spain 2 Institute for Forensic and Security Sciences (ICFS), Autonomous University of Madrid (UAM), Francisco Tomas y Valiente Street, Madrid, Spain 3 Department of Social Psychology and Methodology, School of Psychology, Autonomous University of Madrid (UAM), Madrid, Spain 4 Division of Psychology, School of Health and Social Sciences, Abertay University, Dundee, Scotland 5 Ministry of Interior, Spanish Secretary of State for Security, Madrid, Spain Springer