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PAD-78-20 1 (1977-11-29)

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DOC~UMENT RESUME


04304 - (B333U562]
Antirecescjion Assistance: An Evaluation. PAD-78-20; B-146285.
November 29, 1917. 21 pp. + 2 appendices (107 pp.).

Report to thu Congress; by Elmer B. Staats.- Comptroller General.,

7ssue Area: Regional and National Economic Problems (3500).
Contact: Program Analysis Div.
Badget Function: Revenue Sharing and Seneral Purpose Fiscal
     Assistance: Other General Purpose Fiscal Assistance (852);
     Commerce and Transportation: Ground Transport ation (404).
 Organization Concerned: Office of danagement and Budget;
     Congressional Budget Office; Cefincil of Ecunom.c Advisers.
 Congressional Relevance: House Committee on Banking, Finance and
     Urban Affairs; Senate Ccmmittee on Banking, Fousiag and
     Urban Affairs; Congress.
 Authority: Public Works Employment Act of 1976 (P.L. 94-369.
     Tax Reduction and Simplification Act of 1977.

          Title II of the Public Works Employment Act of 1976,
 known as the antirecession assistance or countercyclical
 program, represents one compoient of the Federal Government's
 response to severe downturns in economic activity. The aim of
 the program is to offset destabilizing actions of State and
 local governments during recessions and, in particular, to
 maintain basic services customarily provided with emphasis on
 the wages and salariev; of public employees. Since local
 governments generally experience less budgetary disruption
 during a r cession than State governments because their revenue
 sources and expenditures are less sensitive to economic
 conditions than State revenues and expenditures, the present
 allocation of two-thirds of the funds to Iccal governments and
 one-third the State governments may not be app'opriate for
 effective targeting of antirecession aid. Findings/Conclusions:
 The present antirecession assistance program is not a
 particularly effective tool for stimulation of the economy
 during a downturn, and there is ser±ous disagreement over the
 sensitivity to cyclical changes of the program's trigger.
 Although recession does not necessarily lead to State and local
 destabilizing actions, the combination of recession and
 inflation may provoke a response fro- those governments that
 runs counter to Federal fiscal policy. The antirecession
 assistance allocation does roughly correspond to the incidence
 of secular decline in a jurisdicticn, but if it is the intent of
 the Congress to provide assistance to mect such problems, ;.
 formula more specific-ally tailored to secular decline could be
devised. (Author/SC)