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                                                                                                   March  10, 2026

The Automobile Loan Market: Policy Issues for Congress


An automobile loan allows a consumer to finance the
purchase of a new or used car. Auto loans are usually
structured as closed-end installment loans in which a
consumer pays an amount of money  each month for a
predetermined time period, frequently three to seven years.
Lenders often require consumers to make down payments
to obtain the loans. An auto loan is secured by the
automobile, so if a consumer cannot repay the loan, the
lender can repossess the car to recoup the loan's cost.

Auto loans are the second-largest consumer credit market,
behind mortgages. At the end of 2025, there were 108
million open auto loans, and outstanding auto loan debt
totaled $1.67 trillion.

Overview ofthe Auto Lendin               Market
Demand  for auto loans is related to car prices. As the prices
of cars increase, consumers may take out larger loans or
take out loans instead of paying in full. A spike in car prices
from 2020 to 2022 led to an associated surge in the number
of total auto loans and their average size. Car price
increases were driven by a variety of factors, primarily
macroeconomic  inflation impacting the prices of underlying
supplies and disruptions across the automobile supply chain
but also integration of new vehicle technologies, safety and
emission regulation compliance, production planning
changes from manufacturers, and markup changes at
dealerships. The average price of new cars peaked in 2023
and remains at roughly the same level today.

Rising interest rates have also pushed the total cost of
financing upwards. The financing rate for new automobiles
on 48-month loans from commercial banks increased from
4.6% in November  2021 to 8.5% in November 2023 with a
gradual decline to 7.5% in November 2025. Bank rates are
generally lower than those offered by dealerships or by
nonbank lenders. In total, the average monthly payment for
car loans increased from $470 in January 2020 to $600 in
January 2023.

In 2025, the average loan term for new cars was 69 months.
Since 2010, there has been a trend toward longer
automobile loan terms, which peaked in 2020 and have
gradually declined since. This trend may be due in part to
rising vehicle costs, with consumers extending loan terms
to manage payments. This could also be driven by
consumers keeping their cars longer. A longer loan term in
general decreases a loan's monthly cost but increases its
total cost, as consumers pay more interest. Some evidence
indicates that longer auto loan terms (longer than five
years) have higher delinquency rates than shorter loans do,
even after controlling for creditworthiness and
macroeconomic  characteristics. These longer loan


maturities may increase the share of loans with negative
equity as cars age and decline in value.

The percentage of auto loan balances that are 90 or more
days delinquent, inclusive of severely derogatory balances
(e.g., charge-offs, collections), has increased from a recent
trough of 3.7% in the fourth quarter of 2022 to 5.0% in the
third quarter of 2025. Current delinquency rates are
consistent with those immediately before the pandemic, as
delinquency was 4.9% in the fourth quarter of 2019. These
increases were even larger in the 30-day auto loan
delinquency rates (excluding severely derogatory balances).
The rising delinquency rate since 2022 has been linked to
subprime and near-prime borrowers with loans originated
from 2021 to 2023. Research from the Federal Reserve
finds that such borrowers have been more negatively
affected by high car prices than by high interest rates.
Elevated post-pandemic car prices may therefore continue
to play a role in current delinquencies.

Auto  Loan  Orgination   Market
Auto loans are originated in two ways: directly with lenders
or indirectly working through auto dealers. The vast
majority (83% of loans, according to one paper) are
obtained indirectly. These indirect auto loans are forwarded
from auto dealers to nonbank finance companies, banks,
and credit unions. In the indirect lending process, the dealer
forwards information about the prospective borrower to one
or more lenders and solicits potential financing offers.
Often, the dealer is compensated for originating this loan
through a discretionary markup, which is the difference
between the lender's interest rate and the rate that a
consumer  is charged. Such markups can sometimes be
substantial.

Roughly half of auto loans are originated by depository
institutions, and they tend to serve prime borrowers with
lower delinquency rates. Captive finance companies, which
are subsidiaries of car manufacturers, finance roughly a
fifth of auto loans. Captive and traditional depository loans
usually have the lowest interest rates, typically due to the
higher creditworthiness of their borrowers, subsidies by the
manufacturers to the captives, or a relatively lower level of
discretionary markup. Non-captive finance companies
account for less than 10% of auto loans and have much
higher average interest rates as they are for used cars and
primarily subprime borrowers.

Some  auto dealerships directly extend credit themselves
(roughly 10% of auto loans), calling this practice Buy
Here, Pay Here and commonly  marketing to consumers
with subprime or no credit histories. These dealers do not
work on behalf of other lenders but keep the loans on their