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Con re Won I Research Se
informing I   Iej~ I live (V )ate e I~ 14


Updated March  2, 2026


Ukrainian Military Performance and Outlook


Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in
February 2022, the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) have
defended and repelled Russian advances, despite ongoing
disadvantages in personnel and a smaller defense industry.
The UAF  has demonstrated flexibility over the course of
the conflict as well as an ability to integrate Western
security assistance. Nevertheless, the UAF continues to face
obstacles, including personnel and equipment losses.

From  FY2022  to FY2024, Congress enacted five
supplemental appropriations measures to provide assistance
to Ukraine. The UAF's evolving condition and performance
may be of interest to the 119th Congress as Members weigh
the impact of U.S. support for the UAF and potentially
consider any further assistance to Ukraine or conduct
oversight of U.S. policies toward Ukraine and Russia.

Personnel
Since the beginning of the 2022 war, the UAF has suffered
high levels of casualties (data on Ukrainian casualties are
sparse, but one estimate places UAF killed as high as
140,000), lowering force quality. In addition, desertion and
draft evasion pose continued challenges to the UAF's
ability to sustain operations. In January 2026, Ukraine's
Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov estimated that 200,000
soldiers were absent without official leave (AWOL) and
2 million men were avoiding draft notices.

After Russia's initial invasion of Ukraine in 2014, the UAF
gained important combat experience fighting Russian-led
forces in Ukraine's eastern regions of Donetsk and Luhansk
(known  as the Donbas). In 2022, Ukraine was able to
quickly mobilize these veterans and other volunteers into
new volunteer Territorial Defense Forces (TDF) and
Reserve without the need for lengthy training. This
arguably contributed to UAF effectiveness, since Ukraine
did not have a fully developed professional
noncommissioned  officer (NCO) corps.

Many  initial volunteers have been killed or wounded since
2022. Reportedly, the average Ukrainian soldier is over 40
years old, and some recruits have health or substance abuse
issues. Ukraine passed legislation in April 2024 to address
some recruitment issues. However, the government
continues to reject some calls to lower the conscription age
from 25 to 18, a policy that would likely meet with public
opposition.

In February 2025, the UAF implemented a new option for
volunteers between the ages of 18 and 24 to sign one-year
contracts in return for higher wages, a signing bonus,
exemption from mobilization for 12 months, and other
social benefits. While this option initially drew some
interest, the UAF has struggled to recruit and retain younger


recruits, and reports indicate recruitment officials have
sometimes turned to more coercive methods.

Train   ng
To replace losses, recruiting and training new personnel
remain key tasks. The UAF faces a dilemma in seeking to
adequately train new recruits amid demands to provide
immediate reinforcements. Ukrainian officials have
instituted new training standards, including centralized
training centers and an increase in basic training to 1.5
months (up from one month). Despite improvements, most
training for new recruits happens in their respective units.
This arguably contributes to differing levels of capability
across the UAF, as some more elite units prioritize training
and provide quality instructors.

Additionally, the UAF reportedly struggles to train officers
for staff positions to assist commanders in managing and
coordinating operations. A lack of trained staff officers has,
in some cases, led to higher-level command staff
coordinating and managing tactical operations. The UAF
has announced organizational changes (such as organizing
brigades under the command of a corps) to streamline
management  and coordination.

Equipment
The UAF  operates a mix of Western and Soviet-era or
Russian equipment and has sustained significant equipment
losses during the course of the war. The UAF has exhibited
resilience in the face of such losses, in part due to Western
security assistance and concerted UAF maintenance efforts.
The diversity of systems, continued losses, and varied
supply, however, undermine UAF  standardization.

Ukrainian officials assert Western security assistance
remains critical for supporting UAF operations. Ukraine has
nearly exhausted its supplies of Soviet and Russian
equipment (especially artillery and ammunition) and relies
on security assistance for a variety of key systems, such as
air defense and medium-range strike capabilities. Low
supplies of artillery systems and ammunition have forced
the UAF  to adapt to other systems such as drones.

Alongside Western security assistance, Ukraine's domestic
defense industry has increased production and continues to
innovate. Ukraine currently produces a wide range of
systems, including drones (tactical and long-range strike),
missiles, artillery systems, radar and electronic warfare,
ammunition, and armored vehicles. Ukrainian officials
maintain that a robust and capable domestic defense
industry is essential to Ukraine's long-term security and for
reducing the country's reliance on security assistance.
According to one Ukrainian estimate, as much as 76% of
the weapons and equipment the UAF  needs is now
produced domestically.