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Israel-Hamas Cease-Fire in Gaza



January 17, 2025

After 15 months of war in Gaza, Israel and Hamas (a U.S.-designated foreign terrorist organization, or
FTO)  have agreed to begin the first phase ofa hostage-prisoner exchange and possible three-phase cease-
fire. It will likely start on January 19, 2025, with Israel's cabinet set to vote on the agreement before then.
A lasting end of hostilities may depend partly on the extent to which the parties implement the terms
(discussed below) for the first stage, which is scheduled to last for six weeks, as well as additional indirect
Israel-Hamas talks. One member of Israel's ruling coalition, National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir,
has pledged to leave the government, without seeking to bring it down. Another, Finance Minister Bezalel
Smotrich, reportedly has agreed to stay in the coalition, possibly in exchange for assurances from Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to resume the war at some point.
U.S. leaders from the Biden Administration and the incoming Administration worked with Egyptian and
Qatari counterparts to mediate the deal, based on a framework announced by President Joe Biden in May
2024, and welcomed in June by the UN Security Council. As the parties engaged in indirect on-and-off
talks over the ensuing months, Israeli military operations continued to degrade Hamas's leadership and
military capacity, while also striking major blows against Hamas supporters Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah
(another FTO). In November, Hezbollah agreed to a separate cease-fire with Israel after dropping its
previous insistence that Israel first end fighting in Gaza. As conflict wore on there, and damage to
buildings and infrastructure worsened, about 90% of Gaza's some 2.1 million residents faced
displacement. Most confront unsanitary, overcrowded conditions alongside acute food insecurity and
shortages of water, medical care, and other essential supplies and services. Israeli airstrikes and Hamas
guerrilla activity and rocket fire have persisted in the run-up to the deal's effective date.


Key Terms and Outlook

According to President Biden, a reputed text of the deal, and other sources, the parties have agreed to the
following during the initial six-week stage:
    *   The return of 33 hostages to Israel in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners,
        some of whom might live outside of the West Bank and Gaza upon release. Reportedly,
        Israel estimates that most of these hostages are alive. They include women, children, the
        infirm, and men over 50, as well as two Israelis captured before October 7. Two ofthe
        three U.S. citizens likely still alive are apparently part of the group. Palestinians who

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