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                                                                                               February 29, 2024

Capital One-Discover Proposed Merger: Systemic Risk and

Market Competition Considerations


In February 2024, Capital One announced a merger deal
with Discover. This In Focus explores the policy issues
raised by the potential merger that may be of interest to
Congress, with particular attention to the competition and
systemic impacts on the banking system.

Capital One is the 9th largest depository institution in the
country, with the 12th largest parent bank holding company
(BHC)  by assets ($478 billion). It is also one of the largest
issuers of Visa and MasterCard branded credit cards.
Discover is the 27th largest depository, with the 33rd largest
BHC  ($152 billion in assets). Discover also operates one of
the four largest card payment networks in the country and is
a major issuer of payment cards. If the banks do not divest
any current assets, the merger would result in an insured
depository institution with over $600 billion in assets,
making it the 6th largest depository and 8th largest BHC in
the country. As shown in Figure 1, the institution would be
significantly smaller than the six largest BHCs, but
comparable in size to four banking organizations currently
in the next tier (over $500 billion in assets). Additionally, it
would combine  two of the five largest card issuers and one
of the largest card networks into one institution.

Figure  I. Comparing Capital One  and Discover  to the
10 Largest Banking  Organizations
December  31, 2023


Source: CRS calculations based on data from Federal Reserve.
Note: TD is an intermediate holding company. Others are BHCs.

Re   ulatoy A        roal   Process
Statute requires bank regulators to review merger proposals
for, among other things, their effects on competition, and
grants them authority to block mergers that do not meet
certain standards. This merger is subject to the approval of
the Federal Reserve (because both banks are structured as
BHCs), Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (because


Capital One is a national bank), and Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation (because Discover is a state-
chartered bank). In addition, the Department of Justice
(DOJ) has the authority to block any merger on antitrust
grounds. DOJ and the bank regulators review proposals for
their effects on market power on the national and local
level. Bank mergers are also subject to numerical statutory
concentration limits to curb market power-the merged
entity may not hold more than 10% of total deposits
nationally or 30% of deposits in any state and, for BHCs,
the merged entity cannot hold over 10% of all financial
company  liabilities nationally. The two bank's combined
deposits and liabilities in this merger would not be close to
the national limits.

Bank regulators must also consider other aspects of a
merger, such as whether the merged institution would have
adequate financial, capital, and managerial resources.
Regulators consider the convenience and needs of the
community,  and the banks' Community Reinvestment Act
(P.L. 95-128; CRA) ratings. As of the date of the latest
CRA  rating, Discover held a satisfactory rating and Capital
One held an outstanding rating. Regulators also consider
the banks' effectiveness in combatting money laundering.
According to the Fed, deficiencies that have resulted in the
issuance of a formal or informal enforcement action
generally are considered to be less than satisfactory. In
2021, Capital One paid a $390 million civil money penalty
for violating anti-money laundering regulations. Both
Discover and Capital One over the past several years were
subject to various enforcement actions in various areas;
however, this is not uncommon for large banks. While these
specific actions were resolved, information about ongoing
supervisory concerns at any bank is not publicly available.

The time regulators take to review a particular merger
varies, and it is not uncommon for several months to pass
between a large merger announcement and approval, as
shown  in Figure 2 for four recent proposed mergers by
banks currently closest in size to a merged Capital One-
Discover entity. Those review periods took between 179
and 430 days, with three approvals and, in the longest case,
a withdrawn application (TD-First Horizon). To gain
regulatory approval, applicants will often make changes to
their activities or holdings, such as divesting branches in
overlapping markets to allay concerns about market power,
creating uncertainty on how a merger will affect factors
such as competition and systemic risk until approval has
been granted.

Systemic Risk sues
Regulators must also consider whether the merger poses
systemic risk to the United States banking or financial


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