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Con   gressionol Research Service
Informing the IegisIative debate since 1914


S


                                                                                                   May  10, 2023

Automation, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning in

Consumer Lending


Financial firms may use algorithms-pre-coded sets of
instructions and calculations that are executed
automatically-to enhance consumer loan underwriting, the
process of evaluating the likelihood that applicants will
make  timely loan repayments. Lenders may rely upon
forms of automated analysis to help decide whether to offer
consumers loans and at what terms. Faster computing
power, internet-based products, and cheaper data storage at
scale have increased the prevalence of algorithms.

This In Focus discusses developments in automated
decisionmaking, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine
learning (ML) in consumer loan underwriting. First, it
focuses on market developments, then it discusses the
current regulatory framework, then finally, it highlights
selected policy issues.

Market Developments
Since the 1970s, consumer loan underwriting has become
more automated, first with the increasing use of credit
scores and more recently with new data and technologies.
Credit scores are a (numeric) metric calculated with
information in consumer credit reports and prepared for
lenders to determine the likelihood of loan default. New
technological innovations have been used to update
automated processes, in some cases beyond traditional
numeric credit scores. For example, for some lenders, the
internet has been incorporated to accept applications, and
new data sources are used to conduct consumer loan
underwriting. Alternative data generally refers to
information that may be used to determine a consumer's
creditworthiness that the national credit reporting
agencies-Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion-have  not
traditionally used when calculating credit scores for
consumers. Further, Al and ML technologies have
advanced rapidly in recent decades. Al technologies are
computerized systems that work and react in ways
commonly  thought to require intelligence, such as solving
complex problems in real-world situations. ML is often
referred to as a subfield of Al with algorithms designed to
automatically improve their performance through
experience with little or no human input.

These technological developments potentially allow for
greater speed, accuracy, and confidence in loan decisions.
They are currently used more frequently in fintech products
than in more traditional consumer lending products,
particularly ML models and alternative data. Fintech (short
for financial technology) refers to advances in technology
incorporated into financial products and services. Many
companies-both   traditional financial firms and new
technology-focused entrants to the market-are developing


fintech products, making it a subject of increased interest
for the public and policymakers.

ML  Models  in Consumer Loan Underwriting
Consumer  loan underwriting can potentially be enhanced
by ML  models. ML models  could improve efficiency and
performance and reduce costs for financial institutions,
potentially expanding credit access or making credit less
expensive for some consumers. ML models could make
consumer underwriting decisions more accurate by
identifying new patterns, such as changing credit
conditions, and by automatically updating the models to
make  more accurate underwriting assessments.

However, ML  models can also introduce risks. One risk is a
lack of explainability, the inability to explain why programs
make particular decisions. Another risk is dynamic
updating, which is when models evolve over time without
oversight. ML models also raise concerns that they may not
perform as intended, possibly resulting in higher loan losses
in new market environments or discrimination against
protected groups.

Current Federal Regukitory Framework
The Consumer  Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is the
primary consumer protection regulator for consumer
financial products and services. One of the CFPB's
statutory objectives is to ensure that markets for consumer
financial products and services operate transparently and
efficiently to facilitate access and innovation. The CFPB
has the authority in consumer financial markets to write
regulations and enforce the law for both bank and nonbank
financial institutions. However, the CFPB's supervisory
authority to examine financial institutions for consumer
protection compliance varies based on the charters,
activities, and size of institutions. Therefore, financial
regulators may monitor some nonbank fintech companies
less than traditional banks.

Regulatory  Uncertainty
Many  financial laws and regulations that existed prior to
recent ML technological developments have led to
questions concerning their effectiveness achieving their
designed policy goals as these potentially beneficial
technologies evolve. Relevant laws and regulations may
need to be reconsidered or updated in response to the future
use of ML models in consumer loan underwriting. This
often involves balancing efforts to encourage innovation
while protecting consumers.

Federal financial regulators have been monitoring ML
models in consumer lending. In March 2021, the bank and
credit union regulators, along with the CFPB, requested