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*.Research Service
2021 Elections in Honduras
November 8, 2021
Honduras is scheduled to hold presidential, congressional, and municipal elections on November 28,
2021. The elections come at a difficult moment for Honduras, as many Hondurans have lost confidence in
their democratic institutions and the country faces a protracted recovery from the Coronavirus Disease
2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, two hurricanes, and a deep recession. Depending on their perceived
legitimacy, the elections could help foster stability in Honduras or could exacerbate the country's
challenges. The elections also will determine whether the U.S. government will have credible Honduran
partners, with whom it can work to address migration, drug trafficking, and other policy concerns, and
may influence congressional foreign assistance decisions.
Domestic Context
President Juan Orlando Hernindez (2014-present) of the conservative National Party (PN) is nearing the
end of his second term and is not seeking a third. Many Hondurans maintain his 2017 reelection was
unconstitutional and the result of electoral fraud. Over the past eight years, Hernindez and the PN-
controlled congress have enacted business-friendly economic policies and a series of security- and justice-
sector reforms while consolidating their influence over the supreme court and other nominally
independent institutions.
In September 2021, 74% of Hondurans surveyed thought the country was on the wrong track. They
identified corruption as the principal problem facing Honduras and unemployment, COVID-19, and crime
as top concerns for their families.
  Corruption. Perceptions of corruption in Honduras have increased as President
Hernindez, members of his family, and other current and former government officials
have been implicated in various corrupt activities, including drug trafficking. Although
the Honduran government enacted some anti-corruption measures during Hernindez's
first term, it has rolled them back over the past two years as prosecutors have investigated
the president and his congressional allies.
  Unemployment. The Honduran economy contracted by an estimated 9% in 2020 due to a
pandemic-driven recession and the damage wrought by two hurricanes. From 2019 to
2020, the unemployment rate increased from 5.7% to 10.9%/ and the underemployment
Congressional Research Service
https://crsreports.congress.gov
IN11795
CRS INSIGHT
Prepared for Members and
Committees of Congress