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                                                                                    Updated February 25, 2021

Latin America and the Caribbean: Impact of COVID-19


The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is
having widespread economic, social, and political effects
on Latin America and the Caribbean, a region with strong
congressional interest because of deep U.S. linkages.

As of February 22, 2021, the region had almost 20.8 million
confirmed cases (18.6% of cases worldwide) and over
661,000 deaths (26.7% of deaths worldwide). Brazil,
Mexico, Colombia, Argentina, and Peru had the highest
numbers of deaths in the region, and Brazil had the second-
highest death toll worldwide, after the United States. The
regional rankings change in terms ofper capita deaths-
Mexico had the highest recorded deaths per capita,
followed by Peru, Panama, Colombia, and Brazil (see
Table 1). The Pan American Health Organization(PAHO)
reported on February 24 that although infections were
declining in many countries in the region, there were
increased outbreaks in Peru along the border areas with
Brazil and Colombia and several Caribbean countries were
reporting arise in infections. A University ofWashington
COVID-19  projection model (updated February 20,2021)
forecasts deaths in Latin America and the Caribbean could
reach over 924,000 by June 1, 2021.

Experts and observers haveexpressed concernthatsome
countries, such as Mexico, Nicaragua, and Venezuela, have
undercounted their death tolls significantly. Many observeis
have expressed special concern for Venezuela, where the
health care systemwas collapsing prior to thepandemic.

PAHOhas   played a major role in supporting countries in
preventing, detecting, and responding to the pandemic.
When  thepandemic began to surge in the region in May
2020, PAHO  Director Dr. Caris s a Etienne expressed
concern about the poor and other vulnerable groups at
greatest risk, including those living in the Amazon Basin
(particularly indigenous communities); people of African
descent; migrants in temporary settlements; and prisoneis in
crowded jails. In July 2020, PAHO is sued an alert urging
countries to intensify efforts to prevent further spread of the
virus among indigenous communities in the Americas.

The rollout ofvaccines in the regionhas been slow, and
there is concernthatwidespreadvaccineaccess in some
countries could be delayed until 2022. Chile has been an
exception, with a goal of vaccinating 80% of its population
by July 2021. PAHO has helped countries prepare for a
rollout ofvaccines and facilitated access to vaccines under
the COVAX   Facility, a mechanismdeveloped by global
health organizations forpooledprocurement and
distribution of vaccines. Twenty-two countries in the region
have signed agreements to access vaccines through the
facility. In addition, 10 countries in the region-Bolivia,
Dominica, El Salvador, Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras,


Nicaragua, St. Lucia, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines-
are eligible to benefit fromthe COVID-19 Vaccines
Advance  Market Commitment (COVAX   AMC),  launched
by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, to provide donor-funded
vaccines for low- and middle-income economies
worldwide. Many countries in the region also have signed
commercial agreements with pharmaceutical companies,
and severalcountries havebegun using Chinese and
Rus sian vaccines. India also has donated vaccines to several
Caribbean countries. Cuba has been making progress on a
vaccine it is developing.

Table  I. COVID-19 Cases, Deaths, and Mortality
Rates in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)
(countries with more than 2,000 deaths, as of Feb. 22, 2021)

    Country         Cases       Deaths   Deaths per
                 (millions)                 100,000

  Brazil            10.195     247,143        117.99
  Mexico             2.043      180,536       143.07
  Colombia           2.230      58,974        118.78
  Argentina          2.070      51,359        115.43
  Peru               1.283      45,097        140.98
  Chile               .803      20.126        107.46
  Ecuador             .275       15,547       91.00
  Bolivia             .243       11,470       101.03
  Guatemala           .171       6,306        36.56
  Panama              .337       5,756        137.81
  Honduras            .166       4,024        41.97
  Paraguay            .153        3,080       44.28
  Dom. Rep.           .236        3.048       28.68
  Costa Rica          .203       2,782        55.65
  Total LAC         20.797     661,149           -
  United States     28.189     500,244        152.90
Source: Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Coronavirus
Resource Center, Mortality Analyses, February 23, 2021, u pdated
daily, at https://coronavirus.jh u.ed u/data/mortality.

Economic   Impact
Before the pandemic, the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) projected 1.6% economic growth for the region in
2020; in its January 2021 World Economic Outlook
Update, the IMF estimated a 7.4% economic contraction for
the region. Economic recovery may be a protractedprocess
in countries that rely heavily on global trade and