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C  o   g e  s  o  a    R e s a r c   S e r v i c


S


                                                                                        Updated January 12, 2021

A   Brief Comparison of Two Climate Change Mitigation

Approaches: Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Tax (or Fee)


Almost all climate scientists agree that greenhouse gas
(GHG)  emission increases have contributed to observed
climate change and that continued increases in GHG
emissions will contribute to future climate change.
Although a variety of efforts seeking to reduce GHG
emissions are currently underway on the international level
and in individual states or regional partnerships, federal
policymakers and stakeholders have different viewpoints
over what to do-if anything-about GHG   emissions,
future climate change, and related impacts.

For policymakers considering actions to reduce GHG
emissions, various policy options are available. Over the
last 15 years, many of the legislative proposals have
involved market-based approaches, such as a GHG
emissions cap-and-trade system or a carbon tax or
emissions fee. These particular approaches may be
considered in the 117th Congress and are discussed below.
The information below provides an overview of two
approaches while briefly addressing their similarities and
differences.

What Is a Cap-and-Trade System?
A cap-and-trade system is a policy tool that creates a cap on
GHG   emissions from selected emission sources while
providing the sources with flexibility-on-site reduction or
emissions trading-when  complying with the emissions
cap. The cap could apply to the primary GHG emitted by
human  activity, carbon dioxide (CO2), or it could apply to
multiple GHGs, such as methane, nitrous oxide, or
fluorinated gases. Covered sources in prior legislative
proposals have included major emitting sectors (such as
power plants and specific industries), fuel producers and/or
processors (such as coal mines or petroleum refineries), or
some combination of both.

An emissions cap is partitioned into emission allowances
(or permits). Typically, in a GHG cap-and-trade system, an
emission allowance represents the authority to emit one
metric ton of CO2-equivalent-a measure that accounts for
different GHG global warming potentials.

Policymakers may decide to (1) sell the emission
allowances through periodic auctions, which would
generate a new federal revenue stream; (2) distribute
allowances to covered sources at no cost (based on, for
example, previous years' emissions); or (3) use some
combination of these strategies. Given that emission
allowances have a market value, the distribution of
emission allowances would likely be a source of significant
debate during a cap-and-trade program's development, as
discussed below.


At the end of each established compliance period (a
calendar year or multiple years), covered sources submit
emission allowances to an implementing agency to cover
the number of tons emitted during the period. Generally, if
a source did not provide enough allowances to cover its
emissions, the source would be subject to penalties.

Under an emissions cap, covered sources would have a
financial incentive to make reductions beyond what is
required, because they could (1) sell unused emission
allowances to entities that face higher costs to reduce their
facility emissions, (2) reduce the number of emission
allowances they need to purchase, or (3) bank emission
allowances-if allowed-to  use in a future compliance
period.

A cap-and-trade system would create an emissions trading
market. Depending on program design details, emission
allowance trading could involve not only sources directly
subject to an emissions cap but also a range of brokers and
intermediaries. The federal government oversees existing
emissions trading programs (sulfur dioxide and nitrogen
oxides) and would likely oversee a GHG program.

What Is a Carbon Tax (Emissions Fee)?
A carbon tax or emissions fee is a policy tool that provides
a financial incentive to reduce GHG emissions by attaching
a price to GHG emissions (CO2 emissions or multiple
GHGs)  or their emission inputs, namely fossil fuels. The
choice of terminology between a tax or fee may have
procedural consequences, particularly in terms of
congressional committee jurisdiction, which could
potentially influence the policy's design. As many
policymakers, stakeholders, and academic journals use the
term carbon tax, this is the default term in this document.

A central policy choice when establishing a price on GHG
emissions is the rate of the carbon tax (measured in dollars
per ton of emissions). Several factors could be considered
when  setting the rate. For example, Congress could set the
rate at a level or pathway-based on modeling estimates-
that would achieve a specific GHG emissions target.
Congress may  also consider whether the tax rate should
increase over time and, if so, by how much.

A carbon tax would generate a new revenue stream. The
magnitude of the revenues would depend on the scope and
rate of the tax, the responsiveness of covered entities in
reducing their potential emissions, and multiple other
market factors. A 2018 Congressional Budget Office study
estimated that a $25/metric ton tax on energy-related and
other GHG  emissions would yield approximately $100
billion each year during the first 10 years of the program.


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