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Comcast-Time Warner Cable Merger


On February 12, 2014, Comcast Corp. announced a bid to
acquire all of Time Warner Cable Inc. The Boards of
Directors of both companies agreed to a stock-for-stock
transaction whereby Comcast will acquire 100% of Time
Warner Cable shares for approximately $45.2 billion in
equity value. If approved, this acquisition would be the
largest cable TV merger of all time.

Comcast is the largest cable operator in the United States,
with approximately 21.6 million subscribers receiving cable
television, high speed data, and/or voice service. Time
Warner Cable is the second largest cable operator with
approximately 11 million subscribers in major markets such
as New York City, Southern California, Texas, the
Carolinas, Ohio, and Wisconsin. Table 1 shows subscriber
data for the top four cable system operators in the United
States. Table 2 shows subscribers for all MVPDs
(multichannel video programming distributors) including
cable, direct broadcast satellite (DBS), and telephone
companies.

As part of the acquisition, Comcast announced its
willingness to divest 3 million of Time Warner Cable's 11
million subscribers. This would result in Comcast adding 8
million subscribers, bringing its total subscribership to
about 30 million or just under 30% of the 100.1 million
U.S. subscribers to multichannel services. Thus, Comcast
would voluntarily remain under the 30% horizontal
ownership cap that had previously been imposed by the
Federal Communications Commission (FCC), although this
cap was subsequently vacated in 2009 by the D.C. Circuit
Court of Appeals (Comcast v. FCC). Comcast, on April 28,
2014, announced an agreement with Charter
Communications, to complete a complex three step
transaction which would, among other provisions, result in
the net reduction of approximately 3.9 million subscribers
of the merged Comcast-Time Warner. This proposed
agreement, which is contingent on Comcast-Time Warner
merger approval, will be accomplished through three
separate transactions, involving an asset sale, an asset
transfer, and an asset spin-off, following the merger.

A combined Comcast-Time Warner Cable company would
own cable and broadcast networks and stations as well as
cable operating systems. In January 2011, Comcast
received governmental approval for the acquisition of
NBCUniversal, a major producer and aggregator of video
content including the NBC broadcast network, a number of
national cable networks, local major-market NBC-owned
television stations, and various other media and
entertainment properties. Additionally, Comcast owns a
number of regional cable sports networks. Time Warner
Cable also owns some local and cable channels, most


notably Time Warner Cable SportsNet, which has the
broadcast rights to the Los Angeles Dodgers and Lakers.

Meanwhile, as part of the 2011 acquisition of
NBCUniversal, Comcast agreed to a number of conditions
and committed to specific undertakings in the public
interest, many of which are intended to maintain a
continuing competitive environment in the marketplace.
Comcast has stated that several of these conditions and
undertakings will be extended to the acquired Time Warner
Cable systems in the event that the merger is approved. For
example, Comcast has stated that the FCC's Open Internet
protections will be extended to its acquired broadband
networks, irrespective of whether the FCC re-establishes
such protections for other industry participants. Comcast
has also promised to extend broadband adoption and digital
literacy programs to low-income subscribers in the acquired
systems.

Table I. Top Four Cable System Operators
(in millions of subscribers)
                                     High
                                     Speed
                Basic     Digital    Data      Voice

Comcast          21.6       21.5      20.3       10.5
Time Warner       11.6       9.1       11.5       5.1
Cable
Cox               4.4        3.2       4.7        2.6
Charter           4.3        3.8       4.5        2.3
Source: SNL Kagan. September 2013 third quarter data.

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The Comcast-Time Warner Cable proposed merger will be
subject to a multi-faceted federal review process. The
Department of Justice (DOJ) will review the merger based
on compliance with the antitrust laws. The FCC will subject
the license transfers that will occur in the proposed merger
to review using a more broadly defined public interest
standard.

As a result of this review the merger may be approved as
proposed, approved subject to conditions, challenged in
court by the DOJ, or the license transfers may be denied by
the FCC. If conditions are attached to the approval,
Comcast has the option to not agree to the conditions and
withdraw its application. The merger is also subject to
shareholder approval and state and local scrutiny.

Many proposed mergers contain a penalty clause where the
acquiring party (in this case Comcast) pays some form of
compensation to the party being acquired (in this case Time
Warner Cable), if the transaction is not completed.


May 5, 2014


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