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                                                                                               December 22, 2014

China, U.S. Leadership, and Geopolitical Challenges in Asia


After 35 years of fast-paced economic growth, China is
now the world's second-largest economy in nominal terms
and is estimated to be the largest in purchasing power parity
(PPP) tens, with a modernizing military and enhanced
strategic clout. China is the United States' second largest
trading partner. For more than 120 countries, it is now a
larger trading partner than the United States. China is also a
major investor on several continents.

Bolstered by economic success, Xi Jinping, China's
Communist Party General Secretary since 2012 and its
President since 2013, has adopted a more assertive
approach to issues China sees as related to its core
interests in sovereignty, territorial integrity, and political
control. Such issues include maritime territorial disputes;
Taiwan, the island democracy with which China has long
vowed to unify, by force if necessary; unrest in the ethnic
minority border regions of Xinjiang and Tibet; calls for
electoral democracy in the Hong Kong Special
Administrative Region; and domestic dissent. Under Xi,
China has also appeared to question more forcefully the
U.S. role in Asia, and increasingly to cast China in the role
of the region's leading power. Among recently launched
Chinese initiatives are an Asian Security Concept; a
multilateral development bank, the Asian Infrastructure
Investment Bank (AIIB); plans for an upgraded free trade
agreement (FTA) with the nations of Southeast Asia and for
a new Asia-Pacific FTA; and two projects, the Silk Road
Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road,
accompanied by a Silk Road Fund, intended to boost
connectivity from Southeast Asia through China and
Central and South Asia to the Middle East and Europe.

The Obama Administration has said that it welcomes
China's rise, albeit under certain conditions. On a trip to
Beijing in November 2014, President Barack Obama stated
that, the United States welcomes the continuing rise of a
China that is peaceful, prosperous, and stable and that plays
a responsible role in the world. The Administration's
signature policy initiative in the Asia-Pacific region is a
strategic rebalancing or pivot to the region, designed in
part to give comfort to countries uncertain about the
impact of China's rise and provide important balance and
leadership, in the words of a former senior Obama
Administration official. The strategy includes strengthening
cooperation with U.S. treaty allies; stepping up engagement
with regional multilateral institutions, such as the
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN); and
expanding trade with Asian nations through negotiations
toward a Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement.
It also includes working to strengthen relations with China,
including its military. The two countries are engaged in
more than 100 bilateral dialogue mechanisms.

Questions for Congress include: How important is it for the
United States to remain the preeminent power in the Asia-


Pacific region, from both a regional and a strategic
perspective? If important, how best should the United
States maintain its leadership, particularly in a domestic
U.S. climate of fiscal austerity? How can the United States
help ensure that a rising China's efforts to shape the
international system and the Asia-Pacific region do not
undermine U.S. interests or the interests of U.S. allies and
partners? To what degree should the United States
encourage China to help address certain regional and global
challenges for which the United States has hitherto
shouldered primary responsibility? As China transitions to a
new economic growth model, how prepared is the United
States for the impact of potentially slower Chinese growth
on the world economy? Is it possible to avoid debilitating
mistrust in the U.S. -China relationship while China remains
ruled by a Communist Party deeply intolerant of any
perceived threats to its monopoly on power? Finally, what
place should human rights occupy in U.S. China policy?

Figure I. The United States and China: Kev Statistics


Source: World Bank, International Energy Agency. Graphic by CRS
Visual Information Specialist Amber Hope Wilhelm.

China on the U.S. Role in Asia

In May 2014, President Xi seemed to signal dissatisfaction
with the U.S. role in Asia when he unveiled a proposal for
a new Asian Security Concept defined by the idea that it is
for the people of Asia to run the affairs of Asia, solve the
problems of Asia, and uphold the security of Asia. In
November 2014, Xi told Obama that the concept is not
intended to exclude the United States from Asian security,
assuring him that, the Pacific Ocean is broad enough to
accommodate the development of both China and the
United States, and [for] our two countries to work together
to contribute to security in Asia.

Nonetheless, Chinese questioning of the U.S. role in Asia
has continued. In a high-profile speech in late November, a
Chinese Vice-Foreign Minister implicitly criticized U.S.


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