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                                                                        Order Code RS22984
                                                                          November 13, 2008





SCRS Report for Congress



              China and the Global Financial Crisis:
                  Implications for the United States

                                   Wayne M. Morrison
                         Specialist in Asian Trade and Finance
                      Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division

        Summary


            Over the past several years, China has enjoyed one of the world's fastest growing
        economies and has been a major contributor to world economic growth. However, the
        current global financial crisis threatens to slow China's economy. Although its exposure
        to troubled U.S. sub-prime mortgage securities is believed to be relatively limited,
        China's export industries and sectors dependent on foreign investment could be hard hit
        if the economies of its major trading partners, including the United States, experience
        a sharp slowdown. This possibility concerns the Chinese government, which views
        rapid economic growth as critical to maintaining social stability. China is a major
        economic power and holds huge amounts of foreign exchange reserves, and thus it could
        play a major role in responding to the current crisis. For example, in an effort to help
        stabilize the U.S. economy, China might boost its holdings of U.S. Treasury securities,
        which would help fund the Federal Government's purchases of troubled U.S. assets.
        However, this could raise a number of issues and concerns for U.S. policymakers. This
        report will be updated as events warrant.


        China's Stake in the Current Crisis

            China's economy is heavily dependent on global trade and investment flows. In
       2007, China overtook the United States to become the world's second largest merchandise
       exporter after the European Union (EU). China's net exports (exports minus imports)
       contributed to one-third of its GDP growth in 2007. The Chinese government estimates
       that the foreign trade sector employs more than 80 million people, of which 28 million
       work in foreign-invested enterprises. Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to China
       have been a major factor behind its productivity gains and rapid economic growth. FDI
       flows to China in 2007 totaled $75 billion, making it the largest FDI recipient among
       developing countries and the third largest overall, after the EU and the United States. A
       global economic slowdown (especially among its major export markets the United



       Invest in China, September 10, 2007.


                  Congressional Research Service   The Library of Congress
                        Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress