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              Congressional
              Research Service






Australia's Hung Parliament and Elections



name redacted
Specialist  in Asian   Affairs

Updated October 22, 2018


Introduction

A surprise defeat in an October 20 parliamentary by-election in the Australian electorate of Wentworth
left the conservative Liberal Party-led government of Prime Minister Scott Morrison without a majority in
parliament. Independent politician Kerryn Phelps' victory in the Wentworth district ended extended
conservative control of the seat, which was long held by former Liberal Party Prime Minister Malcolm
Tumbull. One interpretation of the swing in voter sentiment away from the Liberal candidate is that voters
sought to punish the party for ousting Tumbull as Prime Minister and Party Leader in August 2018. The
next national parliamentary election is now expected in May 2019.


Hung Parliament

The current hung parliament consists of 75 members of the Liberal-National Coalition, 69 Labor Party
members, and 6 crossbenchers. If any one of the crossbench MPs align themselves with the Liberal-
National Coalition, the government would once again have a majority in parliament. Conversely, if all of
the independents align themselves with the Labor Party, the Morrison government would fall and
elections would be called. That said, the recently elected Phelps reportedly believes governments should
serve their full terms except under exceptional circumstances and that responsible crossbenchers should
limit the chaos resulting from a hung parliament. A mid-October 2018 poll indicates that the Coalition
(47%) trails Labor (53%) in a two-party-preferred vote. The government's coalition in the 76-member
Australian Senate includes 25 Liberal Party, 5 National Party, and 1 Country Liberal Party members. The
opposition in the Senate includes 26 Labor Party MPs while the crossbench includes 9 Green Party
members and 10 smaller party and independent members.



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