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handle is hein.crs/crsahby0001 and id is 1 raw text is: Order Code RS20135
March 30, 1999

China-U.S. Summitry: Premier Zhu Rongji's
April 1999 Visit
Kerry Dumbaugh
Specialist in Asian Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division

Summary

On April 8, 1999, Premier Zhu Rongji will begin his first official visit to the United
States since his selection as China's Prime Minister in March 1998. Zhu's visit is another
important step in a seemingly perennial effort to improve U.S.-China relations. Although
U.S. policymakers have tried to lower expectations about the visit's potential
achievements, there is widespread speculation that a deal may be in the works that could
pave the way for China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), a matter
under negotiation for over a decade now. Premier Zhu has been candid about his hopes
for such an agreement. But both U.S. and Chinese government officials remain
hamstrung by domestic political constraints that may make it difficult to reach
accommodation on substantive matters. President Clinton is already under fire for his
China policy, which some critics allege has made too many concessions to Beijing and
has even compromised U.S. national security. Although Zhu is in a stronger position at
home, his ability to make concessions sufficient for WTO accession is constrained by
China's growing economic, political, and social problems, some of which are the result
of new, painful reforms championed by Zhu himself. Any agreement on WTO that may
come out of the Zhu visit is therefore likely to be challenged by key constituencies in
both countries.
Background to Current U.S.-China Troubles
For the past decade, the U.S.-China relationship has continued to seesaw between
notable improvements and frustrating setbacks. Eighteen months ago, much about the
relationship appeared destined to improve its prospects. Clinton Administration officials
continued to emphasize dialogue and engagement with Chinese leaders, and they believed
that China had made important shifts in its willingness to abide by international
agreements, such as in its decision to minimize nuclear cooperation with Iran. Hong
Kong's reversion to Chinese rule, anticipated with trepidation, occurred without incident
on July 1, 1997. And despite the devastating financial crisis that affected all major Asian
countries beginning in late 1997, China appeared to be weathering the crisis relatively well,

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