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Budgetary Impact of Reauthorizing the Export-Import Bank 1 (July 24, 2015)

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CONGRESSIONAL  BUDGET OFFICE                                  Keith Hall, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515


                            July 24, 2015

Honorable Mike Enzi
Chairman
Committee  on the Budget
United States Senate
Washington, DC  20510

Re: The Budgetary Impact ofReauthorizing the Export-Import Bank

Dear Mr. Chairman:

As you requested, and pursuant to section 3105 of S. Con. Res 11, the
Concurrent Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 2016, the
Congressional Budget Office is providing two estimates of the costs of
reauthorizing the Export-Import Bank through 2019 under Senate
amendment  number  2327, the Export-Import Bank Reform and
Reauthorization Act of 2015. One estimate is based on procedures currently
used in the federal budget as prescribed by the Federal Credit Reform Act
of 1990 (FCRA). The other estimate is based on the market value of the
federal government's obligations, often termed a fair-value estimate.

Estimate on a FCRA   Basis
On a FCRA  basis, CBO estimates that reauthorizing the Export-Import
Bank beginning on October 1, 2015, would reduce spending subject to
appropriation by $2.3 billion over the 2016-2020 period, assuming annual
appropriation action consistent with such a reauthorization. That estimate
reflects the bank's recent experience; it comprises the budgetary effect of
new loans and guarantees issued by the bank (a reduction in discretionary
spending totaling $2.6 billion over the 2016-2020 period) and additional
administrative costs associated with those new commitments (totaling
$0.3 billion over that same period).

If the bank is reauthorized before the end of fiscal year 2015, the budgetary
effects from any new loans or loan guarantees made during the remainder
of 2015 would be treated as direct spending because they would occur as a
direct result of this legislation. Assuming the amendment is enacted by
early August 2015, CBO estimates that direct spending would decline by
$30 million in 2015.