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CBO Cost Estimate - H.R. 452 1 (March 7, 2012)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo10664 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
COST ESTIMATE
March 7, 2012
H.R. 452
Medicare Decisions Accountability Act of 2011
As ordered reported by the House Committee on Energy and Commerce
on March 6, 2012
SUMMARY
H.R. 452 would repeal the provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) that established
the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB) and created a process by which that
Board (or the Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services) would be
required under certain circumstances to modify the Medicare program to achieve certain
specified savings.
CBO estimates that enacting H.R. 452 would not have any budgetary impact in 2012 but
would increase direct spending by $3.1 billion over the 2013-2022 period. That estimate is
extremely uncertain because it is not clear whether the mechanism for spending reductions
under the IPAB authority will be triggered under current law over the next 10 years.
However, it is possible that such authority would be triggered in one or more of those
years; thus, repealing the IPAB provision of the ACA could result in higher spending for
the Medicare program than would occur under current law. CBO's estimate represents the
expected value of a broad range of possible effects of repealing the provision over that
period.
Pay-as-you-go procedures apply because enacting the legislation would affect direct
spending. Enacting the bill would not affect revenues.
H.R. 452 contains no intergovernmental or private-sector mandates as defined in the
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA).
ESTIMATED COST TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
The estimated budgetary impact of H.R. 452 is shown in the following table. The costs of
this legislation fall within budget function 570 (Medicare).